The battle over Jewish voters is heating up
How seriously are Dems taking the possibility that Obama
could lose Jewish votes, now that billionaire Sheldon Adelson is planning a
multi-million-dollar campaign to hammer Obama over Israel?
A group of wealthy and influential Democrats is quietly
putting together their own effort to raise several million dollars to counter
Adelson’s efforts in key swing states, by aggressively pushing back on
criticism of Obama’s record on Israel and reminding Jewish voters that he
agrees with them on domestic issues they care about, I’m told.
The effort — which involves Dems like Harvey Weinstein
and Rahm Emanuel — is effectively an acknowledgment that Dems need to take the
possibility of Jewish defections seriously, that Republicans have gotten an
early start in their efforts to peel off swing state Jewish voters, and that
small shifts could impact the outcome.
“The possibility exists that the swift-boating of the
President’s record will confuse voters — that is always a danger situation,”
Marc Stanley, a Texas lawyer who is organizing the effort, tells me. “We need
to amass the resources to fight against the big amounts of money that Sheldon
Adelson and others have given to the Republican Jewish Coalition and also to
the Emergency Committee for Israel.”
Adelson, a casino magnate, and other members of RJC’s
board have pledged to spend at least $6.5 million on an effort to paint Obama
as hostile to Israel in battleground states like Florida, Ohio and
Pennsylvania. The ECI, which was co-founded by Bill Kristol, is also running
newspaper and other ads aimed at doing the same.
The new effort by Dems is unlikely to raise the amounts
of money that Adelson and company have vowed, Stanley concedes, noting that the
group hopes to raise $2 million or $3 million. So the group will focus on
maximizing its impact among targeted communities in key swing states.
Rahm Emanuel has advised the group on how to push back
against the GOP attacks over Israel and on how to geographically target their
pushback, says Stanley, who’s been meeting with major Dem donors. He adds that
Harvey Weinstein has agreed to produce media for the group.
”This is all about the Jewish vote in Florida, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin,” says Stanley, who is also
chairman of the National Jewish Democratic Council, from which the group will
be run for now. “We’re going to spend our money where we can be effective.” The
group will fund polling, focus groups, mailers, social media and probably TV
ads.
Many Dems believe the key to preventing Jewish defections
is that Jews are not one-issue voters on Israel, and on domestic issues are
much more in sync with Democrats. So the pushback will also emphasize choice,
health care, education, social justice and marriage equality.
“These are the issues we’re taught as Jews to support,”
Stanley says. “Tikkun Olam — to repair the world. That’s why Jews historically
vote Democratic.”
Even if Republicans do win over more Jewish voters than
usual, it’s unclear how much of a difference it could make, given that they
comprise just 3.3 percent of Florida’s population, 2.3 percent of
Pennsylvania’s and 1.3 percent of Ohio’s. In a sense, the fact that both sides
are willing to pour serious resources into the battle for such a tiny slice of
the electorate underscores just how close this race seems to be.
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